PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

8637

0xd45818ee2c55b7e843f79cd5781ca432f8f4f35f

Realised P&L
$-111.28
Volume
$110.2k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$81.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 12:12Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 29?BUY0.999$1.21
06-29 12:11Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 29?BUY0.999$1.18
06-29 12:10Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 29?BUY0.9989990961$1.05
06-29 12:10Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on June 29?BUY0.9989992616$1.15
06-29 12:08Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on June 29?BUY0.9989994967$1.33
06-29 12:07Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?BUY0.999$0.68
06-29 12:07Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 29?BUY0.999$1.09
06-29 12:07Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 29?BUY0.999$1.10
05-07 07:45Will DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?BUY0.999$1.62
05-07 07:44Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?BUY0.995$1.22
05-07 07:35Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 7?BUY0.999$1.66
05-07 07:35Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on May 7?BUY0.999$1.89
02-26 17:37Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$188.19
02-26 17:37Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 27?BUY0.9909999947$1.30
02-26 17:37Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 27?BUY0.996$1.90
Trader 8637 · PolyBot