PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6FDA4A1D72256816B037559E4767D6b277ff7998-1774350833007

0xd3d623e354c3c77b485f6afe3250aa30284ff384

Realised P&L
$489.31
Volume
$71.0k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9890.993$824.19+$3.53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9630.969$196.61+$1.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? · Yes0.9680.982$117.84+$1.68
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8260.843$54.78+$1.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? · Yes0.8100.735$36.75$3.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4300.445$22.25+$0.75
Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes0.3570.495$12.87+$3.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · No0.5800.635$12.70+$1.10
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Yes0.1200.100$10.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · No0.7800.805$8.05+$0.25
Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · No0.5000.740$7.40+$2.40
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · Yes0.0590.048$7.20$1.62
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$6.60$0.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? · Yes0.2650.195$3.90$1.40
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.105$2.10$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 11:48Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?BUY0.12$12.00
08-02 11:47Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.0588333333$8.82
08-02 11:47Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$2.20
08-02 11:47Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$6.80
08-02 11:46Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.43$21.50
08-02 11:29Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.01$0.10
08-02 10:42Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.986$295.80
08-02 10:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?SELL0.958$95.80
08-02 10:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?SELL0.959$83.43
08-02 10:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?SELL0.96$9.60
08-02 10:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.963$385.20
08-02 10:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?BUY0.992$525.76
08-02 10:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.81$40.50
08-01 18:32Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1?SELL0.5560465116$119.55
08-01 18:22Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1?BUY0.1948051912$40.00