0xD3842227909eFC0893047c88822Cde2DB750130E-1774610605065
0xd3842227909efc0893047c88822cde2db750130e
- Realised P&L
- $-12.48
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $6.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.25at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17?
- +$28.72at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 18?
- +$26.97at 0.240Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?
- +$25.15at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?
- +$24.02at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.74 |
| 08-03 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0062078 | $1.86 |
| 08-02 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.92 |
| 08-01 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-01 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 07-31 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.23 |
| 07-31 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.38 |
| 07-29 21:23 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 07-29 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.94 |
| 07-29 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.89 |
| 07-28 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.36 |