PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xD3842227909eFC0893047c88822Cde2DB750130E-1774610605065

0xd3842227909efc0893047c88822cde2db750130e

Realised P&L
$-12.48
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
272
Open portfolio
$6.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded272
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? · Yes0.3900.415$3.19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? · Yes0.6000.590$2.95$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.5600.001$0.00$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on April 12? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 21? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 16? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$9.04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 17? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$7.92
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 13? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 18? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 17? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 15? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:57Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.6$3.00
08-03 13:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?SELL0.94$4.74
08-03 08:58Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.56$2.80
08-03 01:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.0062078$1.86
08-02 09:42Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?BUY0.58$2.92
08-01 10:22Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?SELL0.58$2.90
08-01 02:35Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?BUY0.64$3.20
07-31 11:51Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?SELL0.21$1.23
07-31 09:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.57$3.00
07-30 08:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?BUY0.51$3.00
07-30 01:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?SELL0.42$2.38
07-29 21:23Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 30?BUY0.64$3.20
07-29 15:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?BUY0.5$2.94
07-29 08:49Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 31?BUY0.51$2.89
07-28 05:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?SELL0.37$2.36