PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Gold.Mansacks

0xd353c5971f18b51941a1d29ffdc2e63ca7fcf6ac

Realised P&L
$6.7k
Volume
$2.20M
Markets traded
597
Open portfolio
$39.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded597
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0810.135$25.2k+$10.1k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5200.565$14.1k+$1.1k
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Vettori0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) · Daniel Santos0.6000.000$0.00$600.00
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Maycee Barber0.6300.000$0.00$630.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January? · No0.4000.000$0.00$193.43
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0840.000$0.00$2.5k
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Dolidze0.2200.000$0.00$440.00
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card) · Charles Johnson0.2700.000$0.00$675.00
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) · Sam Patterson0.3700.000$0.00$740.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January? · No0.5660.000$0.00$3.8k
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Tuco Tokkos0.4100.000$0.00$328.00
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$2.5k
Lighter Airdrop on December 31? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$24.60
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) · Zhang Mingyang0.6800.000$0.00$372.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 00:42UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.48$480.00
08-01 00:41UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.6$190.09
08-01 00:40UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.78$780.00
08-01 00:40UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.74$740.00
07-29 15:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.2631387825$1.1k
07-24 16:12Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.132$38.34
07-24 13:09UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.67$3.38
07-24 13:08UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.64$568.32
07-24 13:07UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.38$99.67
07-24 13:06UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.63$787.50
07-24 13:05UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.71$710.00
07-24 13:05UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.75$3.79
07-24 13:05UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.74$1.1k
07-24 13:04UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.51$40.83
07-19 14:12Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$160.00