Gold.Mansacks
0xd353c5971f18b51941a1d29ffdc2e63ca7fcf6ac
- Realised P&L
- $6.7k
- Volume
- $2.20M
- Markets traded
- 597
- Open portfolio
- $39.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded597
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.2kat 0.437Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$9.9kat 0.799Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
- +$7.7kat 0.337Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$6.3kat 0.750Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$4.8kat 0.578Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:42 | UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.48 | $480.00 |
| 08-01 00:41 | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6 | $190.09 |
| 08-01 00:40 | UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 08-01 00:40 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 07-29 15:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2631387825 | $1.1k |
| 07-24 16:12 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.132 | $38.34 |
| 07-24 13:09 | UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.67 | $3.38 |
| 07-24 13:08 | UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.64 | $568.32 |
| 07-24 13:07 | UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.38 | $99.67 |
| 07-24 13:06 | UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.63 | $787.50 |
| 07-24 13:05 | UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.71 | $710.00 |
| 07-24 13:05 | UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.75 | $3.79 |
| 07-24 13:05 | UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.74 | $1.1k |
| 07-24 13:04 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $40.83 |
| 07-19 14:12 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $160.00 |