81airi
0xd34cd32144ba03dbf47f9d87d0bf0f2f4cb8f04c
- Realised P&L
- $-714.93
- Volume
- $649.1k
- Markets traded
- 7,973
- Open portfolio
- $8.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,973
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.81at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?
- +$29.55at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 19?
- +$28.40at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
- +$27.90at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?
- +$23.07at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 08-02 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.39 |
| 07-29 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.54 |
| 07-28 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.06 |
| 07-28 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.54 |
| 07-27 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 07-26 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.14 |
| 07-26 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.14 |
| 07-26 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.10 |
| 07-25 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 07-25 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.60 |
| 07-25 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 07-24 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.27 |
| 07-24 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |