0xd3443970De78558375eE9Ae6b6a27B39E6c1fF2E-1776070581667
0xd3443970de78558375ee9ae6b6a27b39e6c1ff2e
- Realised P&L
- $64.91
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $25.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.60at 0.057Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?
- +$23.66at 0.388US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$18.59at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 16?
- +$17.05at 0.225Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 22?
- +$14.62at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.20 |
| 08-04 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.12 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.25 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2766666667 | $4.15 |
| 08-03 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.26 |
| 08-03 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1926 | $5.01 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2966666667 | $4.45 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1287179487 | $5.02 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.56 |
| 08-02 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.62 |
| 08-02 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.78 |