PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Privateel

0xd2afa02006434fd45ad0b881aae3dbcac5ee28c3

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$262.6k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$208.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? · Yes0.7800.775$155.00$1.00
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? · Yes0.2100.220$24.20+$1.10
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0120.009$17.00$7.63
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? · Yes0.0170.019$6.04+$0.80
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July? · Yes0.0140.015$3.75+$0.32
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0120.009$2.11$0.47
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$132.93
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? · No0.7600.000$0.00$151.97
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$55.69
Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$16.32
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0900.000$0.00$7.20
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00$210.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:38Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?BUY0.022$2.20
07-30 20:11Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?BUY0.78$156.00
07-30 20:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.44$88.00
07-28 11:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.747$149.40
07-28 11:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$36.00
07-07 16:36President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.09$7.20
07-07 12:33Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.00
07-05 17:54Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?BUY0.055$1.37
06-19 13:32Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.89$445.00
05-12 13:58Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?SELL0.999$899.10
05-12 10:23Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?BUY0.0216052632$1.64
05-03 18:56Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?BUY0.085$12.75
05-02 06:14Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?BUY0.94$846.00
05-02 06:13Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?BUY0.21$7.14
05-02 05:41Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?BUY0.735$25.72