Privateel
0xd2afa02006434fd45ad0b881aae3dbcac5ee28c3
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $262.6k
- Markets traded
- 323
- Open portfolio
- $208.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded323
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.75at 0.693Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$275.02at 0.390Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
- +$235.35at 0.867MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$223.31at 0.442Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
- +$183.31at 0.268Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:38 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 07-30 20:11 | Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.78 | $156.00 |
| 07-30 20:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 07-28 11:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.747 | $149.40 |
| 07-28 11:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 07-07 16:36 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.20 |
| 07-07 12:33 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 07-05 17:54 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.37 |
| 06-19 13:32 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.89 | $445.00 |
| 05-12 13:58 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April? | SELL | 0.999 | $899.10 |
| 05-12 10:23 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? | BUY | 0.0216052632 | $1.64 |
| 05-03 18:56 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April? | BUY | 0.085 | $12.75 |
| 05-02 06:14 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April? | BUY | 0.94 | $846.00 |
| 05-02 06:13 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.14 |
| 05-02 05:41 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? | BUY | 0.735 | $25.72 |