0xD25Cb55b83aBBCAa111EC31432622a05dA96809d-1776386640651
0xd25cb55b83abbcaa111ec31432622a05da96809d
- Realised P&L
- $-49.06
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.23at 0.049Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- +$24.41at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.25at 0.320Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$-1.22at 0.270Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-2.38at 0.040Will Elon post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on X this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:03 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 19:52 | Will Elon post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on X this week? | SELL | 0.0207114625 | $2.62 |
| 07-23 02:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0209999896 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 02:30 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.0053064239 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 02:29 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.0767512863 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 06:25 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0420000004 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 11:49 | Will Elon post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on X this week? | BUY | 0.0395256917 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 11:46 | Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 11:37 | Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times during Minneapolis Rally? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 02:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2699999811 | $8.00 |
| 06-15 02:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.237 | $8.78 |
| 06-12 09:14 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1109999765 | $3.94 |
| 06-12 09:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999762 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 09:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 09:11 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |