0xd22B3d7BeCac5209D31f93A5170dC17BA0Cf3290-1771839593225
0xd22b3d7becac5209d31f93a5170dc17ba0cf3290
- Realised P&L
- $0.90
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $15.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.96 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.995Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 12?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 5?
- +$0.00at 0.008Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 04:04 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.05 |
| 06-24 07:25 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.94 |
| 05-19 04:13 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.44 |
| 05-13 04:28 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.40 |
| 04-25 07:50 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.28 |
| 04-24 09:14 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-23 03:46 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.68 |
| 04-22 04:15 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.08 |
| 04-21 04:09 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.08 |
| 03-21 04:48 | Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $13.93 |