MoralesGregorya
0xd21f12f34d4522a544f8b2f75737f2af67c288bd
- Realised P&L
- $-150.78
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $18.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Hruncakova (-1.5) vs Bandecchi (+1.5) · Bandecchi | 0.690 | 0.775 | $7.86 | +$0.86 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · LG Twins | 0.680 | 0.695 | $7.15 | +$0.15 |
| Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh Lee · Carol Young Suh Lee | 0.620 | 0.595 | $6.05 | −$0.25 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.800Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$1.67at 0.720Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
- +$1.17at 0.720Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$0.68at 0.880Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
- +$0.18at 0.850Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:21 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | BUY | 0.6799999806 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 08:21 | Set Handicap: Hruncakova (-1.5) vs Bandecchi (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6899999754 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 08:21 | Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh Lee | BUY | 0.6199999823 | $6.30 |
| 07-05 08:16 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999799 | $4.30 |
| 07-05 08:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 08:15 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.30 |
| 07-05 08:15 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6899999573 | $4.20 |
| 06-18 13:37 | Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? | BUY | 0.1199999922 | $13.00 |
| 06-18 13:36 | Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.31 |
| 06-18 13:36 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.977 | $2.40 |
| 05-10 08:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.45 |
| 05-10 08:39 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 04-08 09:46 | Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $133.00 |
| 03-07 16:14 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.42 |
| 03-07 16:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9849995349 | $1.80 |