PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd217902701331E8cB357c62f9BFCc95720AEA747-1766778138714

0xd217902701331e8cb357c62f9bfcc95720aea747

Realised P&L
$28.97
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
584
Open portfolio
$273.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded584
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8700.931$117.82+$7.82
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes0.6490.660$12.20+$0.20
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8900.905$10.17+$0.17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.5950.810$8.17+$2.17
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9560.972$8.13+$0.13
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9560.963$8.05+$0.05
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9500.945$7.96$0.04
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9300.925$7.96$0.04
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31? · Yes0.5120.750$7.32+$2.32
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.5940.740$6.23+$1.23
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.7500.860$5.73+$0.73
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8700.925$5.32+$0.32
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? · Yes0.6310.670$5.31+$0.31
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9000.956$5.31+$0.31
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9300.955$5.13+$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:46Will Russia enter Khatnie by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969999158$9.00
07-31 21:45Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-31 21:42Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969995269$2.00
07-31 21:41Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?BUY0.9959998637$5.00
07-31 21:41Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?BUY0.994999791$3.00
07-31 21:40Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?BUY0.998$3.00
07-31 21:37Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-31 21:36Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?BUY0.994$1.00
07-31 21:36US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?BUY0.985999999$2.00
07-31 21:35Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by July 31?BUY0.999$6.00
07-25 18:55LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonBUY0.999$30.00
07-25 18:54LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.997999908$10.00
07-24 15:16Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9919995159$2.00
07-24 15:15US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? BUY0.9899995099$2.00
07-24 15:14Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.994$1.00