jz19
0xd1e2c4c548fe33f175d874756c5018b4dbdeedda
- Realised P&L
- $-411.77
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $15.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.325 | 0.038 | $12.20 | −$90.80 |
| Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.059 | $1.78 | −$1.21 |
| Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.048 | $0.72 | −$0.33 |
| Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.023 | $0.67 | −$1.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.07at 0.483Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?
- +$23.17at 0.415Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
- +$21.90at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$16.96at 0.917Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?
- +$8.45at 0.524Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 10:33 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.00 |
| 05-19 15:52 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 05-04 11:58 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 02-04 12:25 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.976 | $97.89 |
| 01-31 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $9.65 |
| 01-31 15:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $17.50 |
| 01-31 15:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $5.63 |
| 01-31 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $8.65 |
| 01-31 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.20 |
| 01-31 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.59 |
| 01-31 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.393649635 | $16.18 |
| 01-31 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.629999988 | $9.73 |
| 01-31 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $19.71 |
| 01-31 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $3.10 |
| 01-31 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $4.84 |