kevinhokn7
0xd1b3b9f84c70ee4a68402adaca1999d6b08b3b3f
- Realised P&L
- $124.26
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $328.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes | 0.633 | 0.635 | $182.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.870 | 0.845 | $145.69 | −$4.31 |
| CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.576 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$181.86 |
| Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.60 |
| Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-26? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.00at 0.750CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5
- +$82.08at 0.785Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$75.84at 0.725Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$51.11at 0.540Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5
- +$50.69at 0.580FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 00:56 | CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 16:17 | Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | SELL | 0.75 | $96.15 |
| 08-03 04:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 03:55 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.6330434783 | $182.00 |
| 08-03 00:57 | Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 18:28 | FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $40.00 |
| 07-31 18:28 | FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $40.00 |
| 07-30 06:56 | Sydney Olympic FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 03:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 05:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.769730592 | $200.00 |
| 07-29 02:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |