0xD155d4b5936C3D2f8E1fC1587dD648A53A96f596-1779570374143
0xd155d4b5936c3d2f8e1fc1587dd648a53a96f596
- Realised P&L
- $-137.49
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $63.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.33at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?
- +$14.43at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
- +$8.71at 0.187Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?
- +$8.37at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?
- +$6.35at 0.441Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.7899999873 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |