brasstable
0xd140a7d99192c361261ad47f3a2944591db1b926
- Realised P&L
- $6.54
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $255.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cal Raleigh lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $53.54 | −$0.35 |
| Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.940 | $52.61 | −$0.81 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? · No | 0.977 | 0.976 | $50.73 | −$0.08 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.961 | 0.967 | $50.26 | +$0.29 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No | 0.961 | 0.921 | $47.92 | −$2.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.05at 0.959Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?
- +$1.70at 0.966Will paiN Gaming win IEM Atlanta 2026?
- +$1.15at 0.935Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.949Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$0.80at 0.944Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 13:25 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $22.00 |