0xd0da6bd5383654b11877aedd3565876073128264
- Realised P&L
- $90.18
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $87.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026? · No | 0.147 | 1.000 | $68.00 | +$58.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? · No | 0.173 | 0.150 | $3.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? · No | 0.140 | 0.235 | $3.36 | +$1.36 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.225 | $3.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.190 | $2.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.160 | $2.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.200 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.090 | $1.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.00at 0.100Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$48.00at 0.094Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?
- +$40.59at 0.083Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
- +$36.67at 0.120Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?
- +$19.12at 0.340Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 01:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.206008509 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 00:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 00:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 00:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1470588235 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 00:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 00:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 07:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1388282664 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 07:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 07:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1803614545 | $5.00 |