0xd0d77c0e1c61951c4cbed90e248654f2499b265a
- Realised P&L
- $-45.19
- Volume
- $57.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $51.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.003 | $51.25 | −$51.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.01at 0.009Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.11at 0.973Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$0.20at 0.997Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$0.07at 0.999Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11?
- +$0.04at 0.999Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 01:49 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $62.16 |
| 02-22 13:20 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $45.08 |
| 02-22 13:19 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.977 | $44.62 |
| 01-14 02:23 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9849999975 | $107.11 |
| 01-07 06:29 | Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.01 |
| 01-07 06:29 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $65.00 |
| 12-08 06:47 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.996999986 | $65.70 |
| 12-08 06:43 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.972999979 | $40.00 |