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Traders

EltS

0xd0c6d5086f0490aa9a7f312b65e4310b398ad465

Realised P&L
$-524.82
Volume
$14.9k
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$7.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 6? · Yes0.3300.330$6.60+$0.00
Will Brennan O'Neill win the 2026 PLL MVP award? · Yes0.1310.022$1.10$5.45
Will Jordan L. Smith finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Rocket Classic? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$2.28
Will Tony Finau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Rocket Classic? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 05:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?SELL0.403$8.06
08-04 06:20Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?SELL0.0096$0.48
08-04 06:19Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.048798$2.44
08-04 06:18Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?SELL0.1$0.50
08-03 04:13Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4?SELL0.19$3.80
08-01 11:33Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?SELL0.18$9.00
08-01 07:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.5847573739$6.15
08-01 05:18Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?SELL0.845$16.90
07-31 20:22Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?SELL0.03$0.60
07-31 20:21Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.036$0.72
07-31 20:19Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?SELL0.29$4.94
07-31 20:07Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?SELL0.10294$5.15
07-31 17:46Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?SELL0.2$10.00
07-31 14:02Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?SELL0.07$1.40
07-31 14:00Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
Trader EltS · PolyBot