PolyBot

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Traders

Little-whale

0xd099799382c1161cc07b3c9a8c9118987d163a44

Realised P&L
$283.35
Volume
$103.3k
Markets traded
2,930
Open portfolio
$24.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,930
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.8800.975$3.32+$0.32
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1360.085$3.28$1.96
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.5300.395$2.24$0.76
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1070.047$2.19$2.81
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8320.883$2.13+$0.12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.515$1.72$0.28
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7600.650$1.71$0.29
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7800.969$1.24+$0.24
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.105$1.17$0.83
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7800.875$1.12+$0.12
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in August? · No0.9300.966$1.04+$0.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.9600.992$1.03+$0.03
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.8850.910$1.03+$0.03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.3500.100$0.86$2.14
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1800.085$0.47$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.11$0.41
08-04 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5399999784$2.00
08-04 16:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.24$2.30
08-04 16:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5$3.00
08-04 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.2799998432$1.00
08-04 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.93$3.00
08-04 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.8499999717$3.00
08-04 15:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-04 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.26$2.46
08-04 15:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-04 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.78$3.00
08-04 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.78$3.00
08-04 14:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.5899998112$3.00
08-04 14:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.54$1.00
08-04 14:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSELL0.52$3.94