0xd03718C1ae543095246690472F7E800ecEBBAe73-1780290496300
0xd03718c1ae543095246690472f7e800ecebbae73
- Realised P&L
- $219.04
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $492.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.021 | $459.50 | +$209.52 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.213 | $30.76 | −$16.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.54at 0.975Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Jonas Vingegaard be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 05:19 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.010847235 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 03:36 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.01 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 04:37 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.328957662 | $47.40 |
| 07-20 04:26 | Will Jonas Vingegaard be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 04:11 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0221932231 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 05:33 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.975 | $99.00 |