0xcF8c0559D5b2475c2d4B0661aB8133DA3c665830-1771264090635
0xcf8c0559d5b2475c2d4b0661ab8133da3c665830
- Realised P&L
- $-65.98
- Volume
- $109.2k
- Markets traded
- 920
- Open portfolio
- $434.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded920
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? · No | 0.920 | 0.994 | $80.47 | +$5.95 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6? · No | 0.920 | 0.987 | $79.95 | +$5.43 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? · No | 0.890 | 0.885 | $74.34 | −$0.42 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? · No | 0.860 | 0.800 | $69.60 | −$5.22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.966 | $52.16 | +$3.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? · No | 0.904 | 0.845 | $38.87 | −$2.71 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 6? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.905 | $24.43 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 5? · No | 0.860 | 0.935 | $9.35 | +$0.75 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? · No | 0.890 | 0.855 | $5.13 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.07at 0.890Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?
- +$33.30at 0.878Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 19?
- +$32.45at 0.853Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21?
- +$31.90at 0.858Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13?
- +$26.13at 0.868Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $24.30 |
| 08-04 14:41 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 5? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 08-04 00:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.94 |
| 08-04 00:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.94 |
| 08-04 00:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.94 |
| 08-03 05:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.91 | $24.57 |
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 05:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.01 |
| 08-02 08:07 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $24.84 |
| 08-02 07:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $24.57 |
| 08-02 06:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $24.57 |
| 08-02 04:39 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 4? | SELL | 0.6753571429 | $37.82 |
| 08-02 04:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 4? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.76 |
| 08-02 04:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 4? | SELL | 0.67 | $18.76 |
| 08-02 04:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 4? | SELL | 0.6807142857 | $19.06 |