theresa1
0xcf889ecfd13410765d3bc5ff26ec89557897f823
- Realised P&L
- $-62.78
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $0.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.580 | 0.485 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.84at 0.620Ethereum Up or Down on August 3?
- +$1.59at 0.904Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$1.52at 0.943Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$1.13at 0.930Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$1.13at 0.930Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:42 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 21:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $0.94 |
| 08-03 21:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 14:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 14:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:49 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9899999432 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999975 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9799999621 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:24 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 13:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |