Holer
0xcf4b12a3ad433309a5306323dfb302b82da60bbc
- Realised P&L
- $-38.61
- Volume
- $101.8k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $6.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $6.44 | −$6.44 |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets · Pelicans | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves · Raptors | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Jazz vs. Bucks · Jazz | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Wizards vs. Celtics · Wizards | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Wizards vs. Heat · Wizards | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hawks · Trail Blazers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Nets vs. Heat · Nets | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Mavericks vs. Magic · Mavericks | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Bulls vs. Clippers · Bulls | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Suns vs. Celtics · Suns | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls · Grizzlies | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| 76ers vs. Nuggets · 76ers | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.15at 0.289Heat vs. Hornets
- +$4.89at 0.450Nuggets vs. Lakers
- +$3.37at 0.530Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$2.95at 0.459Knicks vs. Clippers
- +$2.90at 0.500Hawks vs. Bucks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 14:13 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 20:48 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $18.72 |
| 06-23 20:47 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $19.20 |
| 06-23 20:45 | Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $19.20 |
| 06-22 18:02 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 18:21 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or below on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 104-105°F on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 20? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 20? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |