AntonB89
0xcef1c5da828ea297a9d521288680bc2bc8c85c6d
- Realised P&L
- $-106.18
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $27.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.355 | $17.75 | +$2.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.130 | $8.87 | +$1.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.005 | $0.44 | −$19.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$8.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.87at 0.310Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$15.37at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
- +$9.63at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4?
- +$5.95at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$5.82at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.1269115706 | $2.88 |
| 08-04 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1099706651 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $11.20 |
| 08-04 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.53 |
| 08-04 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.48 | $18.05 |
| 08-03 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.14 | $8.12 |
| 08-03 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $29.62 |
| 08-03 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $14.43 |
| 08-03 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 08-03 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.49 | $13.30 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |