0xcec339ffdc4643735decee9eac83bac0d39eba3b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.0k
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $888.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-38.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.461 | 0.055 | $888.11 | −$6.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.18at 0.282Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$-1.4kat 0.716Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 05:48 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.5495239669 | $33.25 |
| 04-04 06:48 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.6820465431 | $443.43 |
| 04-04 05:27 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.7412495499 | $469.91 |
| 04-04 05:27 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.2821423175 | $17.07 |
| 04-04 05:25 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.7204172679 | $472.27 |
| 04-03 03:17 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.7295 | $7.29 |
| 03-31 05:52 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.87 |
| 03-30 16:22 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.7081311772 | $1.9k |
| 03-30 15:04 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.4611380689 | $7.5k |