PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcea49c103bcb7861f8999de540d9fb9a1ce3cac4

Realised P&L
$1.36
Volume
$501.79
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$14.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3100.325$4.12+$0.19
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.8900.885$2.34$0.01
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.8600.855$1.89$0.01
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.8000.795$1.54$0.01
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05? · Yes0.8200.815$1.29$0.01
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.8000.795$0.99$0.01
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.6900.685$0.99$0.01
Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.7600.745$0.98$0.02
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$8.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:36Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-04 09:32Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.32$1.10
08-04 09:29Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
08-04 09:27Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.86$1.90
08-04 09:24Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8899999811$2.35
08-04 09:23Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8$1.00
08-04 09:22Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.8199999874$1.30
08-04 09:21Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.8$1.55
08-04 09:10Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06?SELL0.54$1.47
08-04 09:10Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?SELL0.55$0.98
08-04 09:10Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?SELL0.21$0.95
08-04 09:10Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?SELL0.47$0.96
08-04 07:58Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-04 07:49Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-04 07:48Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.5599998432$1.00