0xcea49c103bcb7861f8999de540d9fb9a1ce3cac4
- Realised P&L
- $1.36
- Volume
- $501.79
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $14.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.325 | $4.12 | +$0.19 |
| Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.885 | $2.34 | −$0.01 |
| Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.855 | $1.89 | −$0.01 |
| Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $1.54 | −$0.01 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.815 | $1.29 | −$0.01 |
| Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.745 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.19at 0.416Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.67at 0.599Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.61at 0.583Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.02at 0.560Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?
- +$-0.03at 0.550Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:36 | Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:32 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 09:29 | Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:27 | Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 09:24 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.8899999811 | $2.35 |
| 08-04 09:23 | Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:22 | Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.8199999874 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 09:21 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.55 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.47 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.95 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.96 |
| 08-04 07:58 | Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:49 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:48 | Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |