LowKeyLegend
0xce1aa596d5ba99d7e02c0dd16287d8bf208115d6
- Realised P&L
- $-20.67
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $13.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.35at 0.900Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
- +$1.35at 0.900Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?
- +$1.09at 0.900Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
- +$1.08at 0.900Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?
- +$1.00at 0.900Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:01 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 07-28 05:42 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 06-29 20:59 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 06-29 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on June 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.86 |
| 06-29 02:31 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 06-28 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 06-28 12:12 | Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.10 |
| 06-27 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.74 |
| 06-27 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.985 | $11.82 |
| 06-25 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.76 |
| 06-25 12:42 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 06-25 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 06-25 01:21 | Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 06-24 06:01 | Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.16 |
| 06-24 04:53 | Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.99 |