PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xce10f87277f03cc2a517220ae7d3f727dde83e2b

Realised P&L
$-621.51
Volume
$20.1k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$4.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tina Browne  be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2340.077$1.87$3.76
Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee? · No0.0600.050$0.99$0.21
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11? · Yes0.2320.046$0.32$1.30
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? · No0.0940.006$0.30$4.02
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal? · Yes0.4200.013$0.26$8.14
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31? · Yes0.4300.011$0.22$8.38
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? · No0.1600.029$0.19$0.85
Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1630.038$0.15$0.50
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be less than 10,000? · Yes0.2600.004$0.08$5.12
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee? · No0.0800.045$0.07$0.05
Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee? · Yes0.0700.034$0.05$0.06
Will Datu Sa Kabanalan (Matampay) sa Magindanaw Royal Descendants Association (THE ROYALS) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes0.2300.003$0.05$4.55
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? · Yes0.5860.007$0.03$2.72
Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2300.006$0.02$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:36Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.012$0.24
07-30 17:36Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.07$0.56
07-30 17:36Will Mark Kaye be the FL-05 Republican nominee?SELL0.015$0.28
07-30 17:36Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.08$0.72
07-30 17:36Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31?SELL0.011$0.22
07-30 17:36Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?SELL0.12$0.60
07-30 17:36Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.74$0.74
07-30 17:36Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.111$1.11
07-30 17:36Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.06$1.20
07-30 17:36Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?SELL0.03$0.33
07-30 17:36Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.09$1.62
07-30 17:36Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?SELL0.1$2.00
07-30 17:36Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.1$2.10
07-30 17:36Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?SELL0.14$1.82
07-30 17:36Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?SELL0.09$2.07