Heater69
0xce041895756cd0b73877fa0b9ba278667c58ae43
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $350.8k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $20.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.024 | $16.53 | −$38.58 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.005 | $3.81 | −$10.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.0282024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
- +$1.5kat 0.1962024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$614.99at 0.111Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$362.54at 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$320.21at 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 16:43 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $12.80 |
| 07-29 16:42 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.42 |
| 07-29 16:34 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.082 | $8.20 |
| 07-29 16:31 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.076 | $12.34 |
| 07-29 16:30 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $2.43 |
| 07-29 16:29 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0749256164 | $5.47 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |
| 05-14 23:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 05-14 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.82 |
| 05-14 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 05-14 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.297452 | $44.62 |
| 05-14 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $37.70 |
| 05-14 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 13:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.35 |
| 05-14 13:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $25.92 |