djs2890
0xcd9731120a147f4b40d0940929d4f8a487c85de3
- Realised P&L
- $-4.33
- Volume
- $354.92
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.984 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.39at 0.963Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$0.37at 0.890Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$0.25at 0.970Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$0.25at 0.890Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.24at 0.952Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 01:37 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 07-13 09:40 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.9889993384 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 08:34 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 02:40 | GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 12:06 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29? | BUY | 0.9629995927 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 02:56 | GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999841 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 10:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9749995247 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 13:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9619997037 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 14:20 | Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.9889999955 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 01:35 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 12:04 | GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999138 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 01:22 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 01:21 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 12:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 02:42 | Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |