0xCD150E0381eeeD6f50e5Cb23303727e3aa5B5ea7-1768704063747
0xcd150e0381eeed6f50e5cb23303727e3aa5b5ea7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $388.8k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.115 | $2.1k | −$105.93 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on July 9? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.52 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 15-21? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.051Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?
- +$2.0kat 0.179Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24?
- +$118.87at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$82.97at 0.272Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 2?
- +$56.80at 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1199999957 | $23.32 |
| 08-03 05:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 19:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.149999978 | $5.11 |
| 08-01 19:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1399999996 | $332.17 |
| 08-01 15:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1117909783 | $461.38 |
| 07-24 08:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.1799999671 | $4.27 |
| 07-24 08:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.1799999995 | $276.49 |
| 07-24 07:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.13 |
| 07-24 07:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $76.01 |
| 07-24 07:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.1799999971 | $47.04 |
| 07-24 07:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.139999997 | $39.43 |
| 07-20 16:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | SELL | 0.0093862968 | $361.13 |
| 07-18 06:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0268320512 | $17.46 |
| 07-18 06:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0241833011 | $914.70 |
| 07-14 13:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | SELL | 0.091532674 | $304.88 |