Chrisbadan
0xccdd36da5f4c65805718827f5e4bcdbfc7eca831
- Realised P&L
- $-94.54
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $45.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.559 | 0.405 | $72.40 | −$27.60 |
| Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$229.23 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.67at 0.197Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
- +$41.09at 0.422Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$32.70at 0.424Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$29.12at 0.340Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?
- +$21.11at 0.159Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:21 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5593675403 | $100.00 |
| 04-19 20:32 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? | BUY | 0.1726488732 | $72.48 |
| 04-19 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.96 |
| 04-19 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $1.90 |
| 04-19 15:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $37.94 |
| 04-19 13:01 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | SELL | 0.3466129865 | $33.58 |
| 04-19 12:54 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.4899999948 | $47.47 |
| 04-16 17:03 | Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3023268072 | $6.02 |
| 04-16 11:56 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.575 | $41.45 |
| 04-16 11:20 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6049999992 | $43.62 |
| 04-16 10:19 | Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3500315904 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 10:19 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $53.62 |
| 04-16 10:18 | Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3561314 | $226.32 |
| 04-16 10:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $226.32 |
| 04-14 15:24 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999998 | $322.39 |