razzy
0xccd45b838ab0379cfe395cf0abeadaf23065367d
- Realised P&L
- $-511.17
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $387.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.963 | $387.13 | +$21.12 |
| Will the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.94at 0.530Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
- +$42.13at 0.090Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
- +$39.81at 0.866Will the Reconciliation bill receive fewer than 213 votes?
- +$21.96at 0.820AOC pregnant in 2024?
- +$16.00at 0.840Will Biden finish his term?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-07 02:09 | Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? | BUY | 0.529999997 | $75.00 |
| 07-26 06:47 | Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.82 |
| 07-02 20:16 | Will the Reconciliation bill receive fewer than 213 votes? | BUY | 0.8655762135 | $256.32 |
| 07-02 18:40 | Will the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 11-08 04:24 | AOC pregnant in 2024? | BUY | 0.82 | $100.04 |
| 08-19 23:24 | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | BUY | 0.8549999996 | $80.00 |
| 08-19 23:22 | Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 08-19 23:17 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-19 23:16 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 23:16 | Fed emergency rate cut in 2024? | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |