lucky6lo
0xcca49dab62217ba665d9ebb5ac1519f08486abb1
- Realised P&L
- $-301.05
- Volume
- $63.6k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $58.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.705 | $39.48 | −$9.80 |
| Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.375 | $18.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.15 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.35at 0.779Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$41.30at 0.410Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?
- +$32.50at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?
- +$31.80at 0.470Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?
- +$25.80at 0.570Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 16:45 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.73115952 | $45.70 |
| 07-27 11:48 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 07-27 11:47 | Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.40 |
| 07-27 11:46 | Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 07-27 10:35 | LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 07-26 11:58 | Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.57 |
| 07-26 11:57 | Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.20 |
| 07-26 11:56 | Will anyone say "Mercy" during House of the Dragon E6 S3? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.49 |
| 07-26 11:55 | Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.4 | $35.54 |
| 07-26 08:39 | Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 08:38 | Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.40 |
| 07-26 08:38 | Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.021864 | $0.87 |
| 07-26 08:38 | Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.61 |
| 07-26 08:37 | Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 07-26 08:37 | Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.74 |