jvr27
0xcbcec5baf863f3ae752725e5c94b039dcec0507d
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $313.3k
- Markets traded
- 637
- Open portfolio
- $121.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded637
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$611.43at 0.788Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
- +$322.14at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?
- +$227.81at 0.903Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
- +$182.78at 0.769Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?
- +$178.80at 0.255Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $11.11 |
| 08-03 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $60.20 |
| 08-03 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 08-03 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.92 | $15.64 |
| 08-03 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-03 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.745 | $7.45 |
| 08-03 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 08-03 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-03 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 08-02 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 08-02 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $17.25 |