0xCB837DfCA0B42C4ef682333F4949386aE1350dd9-1774846366358
0xcb837dfca0b42c4ef682333f4949386ae1350dd9
- Realised P&L
- $412.47
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $21.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$787.41at 0.082Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$73.66at 0.125Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?
- +$46.60at 0.686Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
- +$30.38at 0.730Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$13.85at 0.520Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 4? | BUY | 0.5873683919 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 12:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.117100513 | $24.65 |
| 08-04 12:40 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.5499999986 | $80.00 |
| 08-04 04:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3799999985 | $80.00 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.743649635 | $20.38 |
| 08-03 02:30 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | SELL | 0.95 | $419.68 |
| 08-03 02:00 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | SELL | 0.07 | $26.22 |
| 08-03 01:59 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.9050454854 | $399.83 |
| 08-03 01:29 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.4539209295 | $170.00 |
| 08-03 01:28 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | SELL | 0.5464 | $85.38 |
| 08-03 01:19 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 01:12 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 18:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.0170476226 | $4.52 |