PolyBot

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Traders

0xCB837DfCA0B42C4ef682333F4949386aE1350dd9-1774846366358

0xcb837dfca0b42c4ef682333f4949386ae1350dd9

Realised P&L
$412.47
Volume
$27.2k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$21.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 4? · Yes0.5500.085$12.36$67.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? · Yes0.3000.031$3.10$26.90
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 4? · Yes0.5870.160$2.45$6.55
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6600.625$1.89$0.11
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4? · Yes0.2100.055$1.31$3.69
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$9.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$4.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$9.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 4?BUY0.5873683919$9.00
08-04 12:43Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4?BUY0.3$30.00
08-04 12:42Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?BUY0.209999974$5.00
08-04 12:41Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4?SELL0.117100513$24.65
08-04 12:40Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 4?BUY0.5499999986$80.00
08-04 04:32Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4?BUY0.3799999985$80.00
08-03 05:08Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?SELL0.743649635$20.38
08-03 02:30Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.95$419.68
08-03 02:00Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.07$26.22
08-03 01:59Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.9050454854$399.83
08-03 01:29Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.4539209295$170.00
08-03 01:28Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaSELL0.5464$85.38
08-03 01:19Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.64$100.00
08-03 01:12Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.7299999974$20.00
08-02 18:07Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 27-August 2?SELL0.0170476226$4.52