Kizo
0xcb7230aaba38926e41faed6379bb0a59f9a46020
- Realised P&L
- $-79.74
- Volume
- $103.8k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $35.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.981 | $20.36 | +$0.36 |
| Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.972 | 0.962 | $14.84 | −$0.16 |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31? · No | 0.942 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.706Faithless elector in US election?
- +$3.40at 0.876Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
- +$2.72at 0.840Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?
- +$2.19at 0.979Avail airdrop in Q3 2025?
- +$2.14at 0.920Iran Nuke in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 18:28 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $80.00 |
| 03-04 15:10 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9509999996 | $15.00 |
| 03-04 15:10 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999993 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 15:08 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 15:07 | Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 5% and 6%? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 03-04 15:07 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.809999991 | $9.00 |
| 03-04 15:07 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 03-04 15:06 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9669999986 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 15:06 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $8.00 |
| 03-04 15:05 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9649999791 | $9.00 |
| 03-04 15:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9869999989 | $8.00 |
| 03-04 15:04 | Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9719999992 | $15.00 |
| 12-07 12:09 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.60 |
| 12-07 12:09 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | BUY | 0.9689999647 | $10.70 |
| 12-07 12:08 | Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025? | BUY | 0.9919999444 | $14.00 |