56hrsgh
0xcb437a283b168a4e62d1fbc9efa5d940b410688e
- Realised P&L
- $-124.73
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $23.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? · No | 0.970 | 0.957 | $10.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.987 | $10.62 | +$0.21 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.964 | $1.68 | +$0.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Penguins · Canadiens | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.07at 0.963Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.978Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.992Will XRP dip to $0.60 in July?
- +$0.01at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9619998168 | $1.68 |
| 08-04 08:37 | Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.00 |
| 07-11 09:43 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.67 |
| 07-11 09:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in July? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.80 |
| 07-11 09:42 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.81 |
| 07-11 09:42 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.87 |
| 07-11 09:42 | Will XRP reach $2.60 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.81 |
| 07-11 09:42 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.86 |
| 07-11 09:42 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.85 |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.01 |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $1.02 |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.03 |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.05 |
| 07-11 09:40 | Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.05 |