0xcA9D137f2fd60A5531f3187966F27b196466C53e-1770844336369
0xca9d137f2fd60a5531f3187966f27b196466c53e
- Realised P&L
- $-0.70
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.005 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 1? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.30at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?
- +$1.70at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26?
- +$1.19at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$0.99at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$0.03at 0.710Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.87 |
| 08-01 20:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.02 |
| 08-01 20:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7099994391 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 07-30 18:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 20:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.97 |
| 02-23 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $0.97 |
| 02-23 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.97 |
| 02-23 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $0.98 |
| 02-23 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $0.97 |