PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcA826304802BC148B3524003463cbF173b87E1F2-1775266797129

0xca826304802bc148b3524003463cbf173b87e1f2

Realised P&L
$11.1k
Volume
$534.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2430.225$4.3k$344.22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3310.185$167.68$132.32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$28.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$100.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$278.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 01:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.16$28.00
07-22 07:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.2438518792$4.6k
07-22 07:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.13$4.6k
07-15 15:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1246411012$4.4k
06-18 11:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.3776652475$4.9k
06-17 21:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.3865143171$2.0k
06-17 21:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.3899999999$3.0k
06-17 14:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.3592757798$1.6k
06-16 23:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.3699999999$993.00
06-16 20:38France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5SELL0.21$76.36
06-16 20:32Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.0299999997$100.00
06-16 20:31Will France win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.82$1.0k
06-16 19:07Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6299999995$348.85
06-16 19:04Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.64$59.00
06-16 19:04Will France win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.36$360.00