ronannai
0xca280b051308829d9e328b87c0732aa5f414ceb2
- Realised P&L
- $-108.94
- Volume
- $225.2k
- Markets traded
- 932
- Open portfolio
- $483.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded932
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.395 | $197.50 | +$42.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.285 | $126.70 | −$29.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.390 | $61.99 | +$20.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.625 | $43.75 | +$9.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.375 | $37.49 | +$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $12.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.055 | $4.47 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.014Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?
- +$342.47at 0.516Spread: Heat (-4.5)
- +$320.75at 0.057Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$311.47at 0.277Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$302.07at 0.332Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 08-04 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $155.00 |
| 08-04 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1681806667 | $25.23 |
| 08-04 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7927777778 | $14.27 |
| 08-04 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $58.08 |
| 08-04 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.86 | $13.76 |
| 08-04 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 08-04 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.86 | $11.18 |
| 08-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0745337766 | $4.93 |
| 08-04 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0962 | $4.81 |
| 08-04 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.38 |
| 08-04 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.94 |
| 08-04 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.69 |
| 08-04 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1664347271 | $10.43 |