thi3f
0xc9826a90140310e295c8b8839a7efc4716a7044b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 330
- Open portfolio
- $42.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded330
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.64at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$12.14at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$10.69at 0.145Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$10.37at 0.967Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?
- +$5.00at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 01:51 | Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:50 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:50 | Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:50 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:50 | Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:49 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:49 | Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:49 | Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 01:49 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |