ExclusiveBia
0xc8ef47ecfe2453410566668a9ca7795b4efbc2f3
- Realised P&L
- $-223.04
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $16.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.00at 0.250Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$18.42at 0.520Will Ethereum hit $3,800 by Friday?
- +$14.67at 0.120Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$10.38at 0.325Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.50at 0.322Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 05:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2683737449 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 05:30 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 05:30 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 05:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 07:59 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0285946425 | $18.87 |
| 07-24 07:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 07-24 07:45 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 20:17 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 250m and 300m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0113413587 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 20:17 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 20:17 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 20:14 | Zug: Jerome Kym vs Jay Clarke | BUY | 0.0543424054 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 07:02 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.40 |
| 07-20 07:02 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.04 |
| 07-20 07:01 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.089 | $1.78 |