Clicker1
0xc8849a93e05a2ae1b49bb07787a9e0059bb4e17e
- Realised P&L
- $151.9k
- Volume
- $3.75M
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $435.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.4kat 0.438US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$120.8kat 0.411US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$53.3kat 0.588US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$12.0kat 0.689Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$5.5kat 0.974Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 13:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $270.7k |
| 06-14 21:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499591664 | $53.7k |
| 06-14 21:41 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6319387467 | $13.3k |
| 06-14 21:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.628 | $2.7k |
| 06-13 22:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4972539377 | $12.2k |
| 06-13 19:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4961861718 | $6.5k |
| 06-13 18:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5958307559 | $5.1k |
| 06-13 16:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $104.3k |
| 06-13 16:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.5k |
| 06-13 16:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7355555577 | $3.8k |
| 06-13 16:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.6k |
| 06-13 16:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.5k |
| 06-13 14:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5392670327 | $1.8k |
| 06-12 17:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5069968435 | $1.5k |
| 06-12 17:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.5k |