PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Clicker1

0xc8849a93e05a2ae1b49bb07787a9e0059bb4e17e

Realised P&L
$151.9k
Volume
$3.75M
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$435.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$278.6k+$7.6k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9010.965$96.4k+$6.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8450.925$60.1k+$5.2k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4420.001$35.20$31.1k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$614.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Yes0.5040.000$0.00$68.8k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.3020.000$0.00$73.8k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$2.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00$27.0k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$3.5k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.1k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$1.9k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$75.4k
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? · Yes0.5640.000$0.00$12.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 13:32Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$270.7k
06-14 21:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.6499591664$53.7k
06-14 21:41US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.6319387467$13.3k
06-14 21:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.628$2.7k
06-13 22:17US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4972539377$12.2k
06-13 19:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4961861718$6.5k
06-13 18:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5958307559$5.1k
06-13 16:59Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.991$104.3k
06-13 16:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.54$5.5k
06-13 16:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7355555577$3.8k
06-13 16:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.65$1.6k
06-13 16:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.56$11.5k
06-13 14:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5392670327$1.8k
06-12 17:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5069968435$1.5k
06-12 17:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.2$1.5k