UngarsBstard
0xc88216851d9be905e620a8ea5819e4a05744d4b8
- Realised P&L
- $-247.66
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $38.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.52at 0.095U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$-1.00at 0.049Will Trump’s remarks not air?
- +$-1.00at 0.003Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:40 | Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:40 | Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:39 | Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:38 | Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 04:37 | Will "OpenAI" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:26 | Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:20 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 08:19 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 38.5 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.4339999792 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 21:32 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 39.5 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0058485403 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:30 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 38.5 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0872871288 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 13:38 | Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |