PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xC8815a4b86CAdf709c5B4e0EACe4865841e18d5a-1783101417214

0xc8815a4b86cadf709c5b4e0eace4865841e18d5a

Realised P&L
$25.92
Volume
$642.50
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$7.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0620.061$7.24$0.12
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.5170.000$0.00$18.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 11:08Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersSELL0.61$18.85
07-24 06:48Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.6199999916$19.16
07-24 06:31Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.21$3.10
07-24 02:27O'Higgins FC to score first vs. CA Boca Juniors?SELL0.999$63.57
07-24 00:10O'Higgins FC to score first vs. CA Boca Juniors?BUY0.7913691948$50.36
07-17 01:50Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3969999967$26.47
07-16 20:28Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17?SELL0.22$14.46
07-16 20:27Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17?BUY0.25$16.43
07-13 17:54Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.12$1.77
07-10 20:56Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3649999846$8.52
07-07 14:24Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5499999959$6.78
07-07 12:17Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.111$2.66
07-06 13:29Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.0620492791$7.36
07-05 21:35Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5$11.79
07-04 23:28Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999639$1.99