0xC8815a4b86CAdf709c5B4e0EACe4865841e18d5a-1783101417214
0xc8815a4b86cadf709c5b4e0eace4865841e18d5a
- Realised P&L
- $25.92
- Volume
- $642.50
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.061 | $7.24 | −$0.12 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.21at 0.397Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.21at 0.791O'Higgins FC to score first vs. CA Boca Juniors?
- +$1.33at 0.120Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.67at 0.083Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.31at 0.620Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 11:08 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | SELL | 0.61 | $18.85 |
| 07-24 06:48 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.6199999916 | $19.16 |
| 07-24 06:31 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.10 |
| 07-24 02:27 | O'Higgins FC to score first vs. CA Boca Juniors? | SELL | 0.999 | $63.57 |
| 07-24 00:10 | O'Higgins FC to score first vs. CA Boca Juniors? | BUY | 0.7913691948 | $50.36 |
| 07-17 01:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3969999967 | $26.47 |
| 07-16 20:28 | Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17? | SELL | 0.22 | $14.46 |
| 07-16 20:27 | Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17? | BUY | 0.25 | $16.43 |
| 07-13 17:54 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.77 |
| 07-10 20:56 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3649999846 | $8.52 |
| 07-07 14:24 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5499999959 | $6.78 |
| 07-07 12:17 | Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.111 | $2.66 |
| 07-06 13:29 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0620492791 | $7.36 |
| 07-05 21:35 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5 | $11.79 |
| 07-04 23:28 | Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999639 | $1.99 |