Jeffhk
0xc80df176c03b2a6dc7f804ebd017e2fb9af0fd53
- Realised P&L
- $-46.5k
- Volume
- $246.8k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.606 | 0.290 | $10.8k | −$11.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.71at 0.370US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$-34.9kat 0.556Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 09:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.24 |
| 06-07 05:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $6.75 |
| 06-05 17:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $18.72 |
| 06-03 06:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $192.00 |
| 06-03 05:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $97.11 |
| 05-24 12:39 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $82.01 |
| 05-24 12:39 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.4663380055 | $231.56 |
| 05-23 03:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $140.40 |
| 05-23 03:11 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.5353617901 | $331.61 |
| 05-13 14:37 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $198.02 |
| 05-13 10:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.6k |
| 05-13 10:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.7k |
| 05-13 10:26 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.1k |
| 05-13 06:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $356.93 |
| 05-12 15:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $887.38 |