PolyBot

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Traders

0xc806bedd68f40be7a1802827f464c8a8bff0d5fa

Realised P&L
$17.79
Volume
$669.46
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$36.37

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? · No0.9200.995$10.81+$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? · No0.8950.960$10.73+$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? · No0.8600.835$9.70$0.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? · No0.9200.945$5.13+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? · No0.8400.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:24Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?SELL0.62$4.88
08-04 09:57Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?BUY0.86$5.00
08-04 09:45Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?SELL0.86$4.30
08-04 09:41Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6?BUY0.92$5.00
08-04 09:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?BUY0.86$5.00
08-04 06:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?BUY0.9$5.00
08-04 05:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?BUY0.89$5.00
08-04 05:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?SELL0.91$5.06
08-04 05:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?SELL0.91$0.50
08-04 05:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?SELL0.9$4.50
08-04 04:56Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4?BUY0.9$4.50
08-04 03:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.9$5.00
08-04 02:41Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.9$5.00
08-03 12:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.91$7.00
08-03 11:26Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.92$5.00