0xc806bedd68f40be7a1802827f464c8a8bff0d5fa
- Realised P&L
- $17.79
- Volume
- $669.46
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $36.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? · No | 0.920 | 0.995 | $10.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? · No | 0.895 | 0.960 | $10.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? · No | 0.860 | 0.835 | $9.70 | −$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $5.13 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.73at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 2?
- +$2.91at 0.821Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on July 29?
- +$2.41at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 25?
- +$2.14at 0.898Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?
- +$1.98at 0.898Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.62 | $4.88 |
| 08-04 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:45 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.06 |
| 08-04 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.50 |
| 08-04 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |