Cagoman
0xc7ee6f9418cbdfe3e32b0d28221e2e18c74bfa6b
- Realised P&L
- $63.82
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $82.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.03at 0.262US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$10.15at 0.543US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$9.19at 0.169Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
- +$8.22at 0.587US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$7.37at 0.628US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:28 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:26 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:26 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1659998722 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:25 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.6679999973 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:25 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:25 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%? | BUY | 0.3669998539 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:16 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5459999749 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:26 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 09:26 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:26 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |