0xc7b58a27a239f60ac796ba3f12907868f563f49e
- Realised P&L
- $-273.78
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $114.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.897 | $67.03 | −$2.16 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No | 0.911 | 1.000 | $47.01 | +$4.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.90at 0.930Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.40at 0.860Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
- +$7.64at 0.850SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
- +$4.71at 0.977Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$1.34at 0.931Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.9110863846 | $42.85 |
| 07-30 15:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.8599999988 | $57.74 |
| 07-30 15:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8189999995 | $38.65 |
| 07-30 15:27 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8253619146 | $51.74 |
| 07-30 02:26 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9258818222 | $69.19 |
| 07-30 02:21 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9099999953 | $92.52 |
| 06-17 07:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999982 | $344.15 |
| 06-17 07:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $353.28 |
| 06-14 19:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $305.49 |
| 06-14 19:41 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | SELL | 0.9000104515 | $43.06 |
| 06-14 19:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $179.67 |
| 06-14 19:40 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.99 | $89.89 |
| 06-13 04:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6520084263 | $50.07 |
| 06-09 07:29 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.85 | $43.31 |
| 06-09 07:28 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | BUY | 0.9226173766 | $44.14 |